Ford Transit years to avoid — 854,753 MOT tests ranked

Inspect most carefully: 2011, 2012, 2013. Strongest in the data: 2002 or 2006. The ranking uses 854,753 MOT tests across 19 registration years (2023–2025) and compares each year with all UK cars of the same age.

Every Transit year, ranked

The age-adjusted MOT index sets 100 as the pass rate of all UK cars registered in the same year and tested in the same calendar year. Higher is better. This prevents an old car being labelled a “bad year” simply because it is old.

RankYearIndexVs same-agePass rateTests
1 2006 Strong 99.9 -0.1 pts 64.3% 16,807
2 2002 Strong 99.4 -0.6 pts 65.1% 5,841
3 2004 99.3 -0.7 pts 63.6% 6,537
4 2001 99.1 -0.9 pts 65.7% 3,912
5 2005 98.4 -1.6 pts 62.9% 9,121
6 2007 98.1 -1.9 pts 63.2% 28,793
7 2003 97.0 -3.0 pts 62.0% 6,922
8 2008 95.8 -4.2 pts 60.9% 36,032
9 2014 93.9 -6.1 pts 69.8% 84,940
10 2018 93.8 -6.2 pts 80.1% 55,698
11 2009 93.3 -6.7 pts 59.7% 32,380
12 2019 93.2 -6.8 pts 81.6% 7,102
13 2016 93.1 -6.9 pts 74.4% 121,915
14 2015 92.7 -7.3 pts 71.4% 105,000
15 2017 92.5 -7.5 pts 76.5% 128,984
16 2010 91.0 -9.0 pts 58.4% 46,121
17 2013 Inspect 90.9 -9.1 pts 64.3% 58,690
18 2011 Inspect 89.9 -10.1 pts 59.1% 54,957
19 2012 Inspect 89.2 -10.8 pts 60.5% 45,001

Why 2011 and 2012 and 2013 rank lower

The 2013 cohort passes 64.3% of tests (-9.1 points versus same-age cars) at a median 122,672 miles, with lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment the leading failure system. The 2011 cohort passes 59.1% of tests (-10.1 points versus same-age cars) at a median 138,896 miles, with suspension the leading failure system. The 2012 cohort passes 60.5% of tests (-10.8 points versus same-age cars) at a median 130,704 miles, with lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment the leading failure system. This is population-level evidence, not a known-fault list: service history, engine version and the individual MOT record can outweigh the registration-year average.

How to use this before buying

  • Rankings describe the cohort, not the car. A cherished 2011 example beats a neglected 2002 one — always run the specific reg through the free MOT history check.
  • Read the advisories. Repeated notes for the same component across years mean the owner has been ignoring it. Decode them in our advisory library.
  • Scan before you pay. A 2-minute OBD scan reveals stored faults the dashboard hides — see our scanner guide.

FAQs

Which Transit years should I avoid?

Based on 854,753 MOT tests adjusted against cars of the same age, 2011, 2012, 2013 are the lower-scoring outliers. That is a prompt for closer inspection, not proof that every car from those years is bad.

What is the best Transit year to buy used?

2002 and 2006 lead the age-adjusted MOT ranking. The score compares each registration year with all UK cars of the same age; the specific car's history and condition still take priority.

Is the Transit reliable overall?

Across 854,753 tests, the median age-adjusted index is 93.8 (100 equals the pass rate of all cars registered in the same year). Use the spread between years as one signal, then check the individual registration.

Methodology: index = 100 + the model-year cohort’s MOT pass-rate difference versus all UK vehicles registered in the same year and tested in the same calendar year. Class 4 initial tests only; retests excluded; at least 1,500 tests per page. “Inspect” years are below both the same-age baseline and the model’s median index by at least 2 points. Association is not proof of a model-year defect. DVSA anonymised data 2023–2025, OGL v3.0.